Stazo Omung’ala Continues to Gain Ground in Embakasi East as September Poll Puts Him at 45%
Nairobi, Kenya — September 14, 2026
Upper Savannah Ward MCA and Nairobi County Assembly Deputy Chief Hon. Stazo Omung’ala continues to gain ground in the race for the Embakasi East parliamentary seat, with the latest opinion poll placing his support at 45 percent.
Omung’ala, who also serves as the ODM Nairobi Youth Leader, recently made his first public announcement of his intention to contest the Embakasi East parliamentary seat. His support has, however, been steadily rising in successive opinion surveys conducted in the constituency, even before he formally declared his interest.
The latest survey puts Omung’ala's support at 45 percent, up from 44.6 percent in August and 44 percent in July.
The September survey sampled 3,000 Embakasi East voters, with respondents drawn from all wards in the constituency. The larger sample compared with the July and August surveys sought to gauge voter sentiment on a range of issues, including political preferences and perceptions of various leaders.
When asked who they would support for Member of Parliament in Embakasi East, 45 percent of the 3,000 sampled voters identified Omung’ala as their preferred candidate.
Support Was Growing Before Official Announcement
Omung’ala's performance is particularly notable because his support had already crossed the 44 percent mark before he publicly announced his intention to seek the parliamentary seat.
His first public declaration has now formally put his political ambitions on the table and is expected to generate increased interest in his candidature and potentially attract additional support.
The latest figures show a steady upward trend — from 44 percent in July, to 44.6 percent in August, and now 45 percent in September.
The trend suggests that Omung’ala had already established a significant political base in Embakasi East even before formally entering the parliamentary contest. His recent announcement could therefore provide further momentum as the race begins to take shape.
His strongest and most reliable support comes from Upper Savannah Ward, where he currently serves as MCA. His role as ward representative, coupled with his position as Deputy Chief of the Nairobi County Assembly and ODM Nairobi Youth Leader, gives him significant visibility within Embakasi East and across Nairobi County.
Babu Owino's Gubernatorial Ambitions Shape the Race
The emerging parliamentary contest is also unfolding against the backdrop of Hon. Babu Owino's consistent declaration that he intends to contest the Nairobi gubernatorial seat.
Babu, the incumbent Embakasi East MP, has repeatedly expressed his intention to transition from Parliament to the Nairobi governor's race.
His gubernatorial ambitions have consequently sparked increased interest among voters who have traditionally supported him in Embakasi East but are now beginning to consider possible candidates who could succeed him as MP.
The latest polling provides an early indication of how this political transition could influence the constituency should Babu proceed with his gubernatorial bid.
For voters who continue to support Babu for governor, the question of who should represent Embakasi East in Parliament is increasingly becoming part of the political conversation.
Omung’ala appears to be benefiting from this emerging dynamic, with his support already standing at 45 percent as he enters the contest more openly.
A Race Still Taking Shape
With Omung’ala's support increasing gradually across the July, August and September surveys, the Upper Savannah MCA is emerging as one of the key figures to watch in the Embakasi East parliamentary contest.
The latest survey, based on 3,000 respondents representing all wards in the constituency, provides a broader snapshot of voter sentiment than the earlier July and August polls.
The figures represent voter preferences at the time the survey was conducted.
Much could still change as candidates formally declare their intentions, campaigns gather momentum and voters receive more information about the various contenders seeking the parliamentary seat.
For now, however, Stazo Omung’ala's steady rise from 44 percent in July to 44.6 percent in August and 45 percent in September places him in a strong early position in the emerging Embakasi East MP race — with his first public declaration of interest potentially setting the stage for an even more competitive contest.