Intouch November Opinion Poll: Odalo's Popularity Surges Past 43% in Mathare as Moha Gains Ground, Oluoch Commands 10% Support
The latest survey by Intouch Polls shows Odalo strengthening his position across all six Mathare wards, with his closest challenger, Mohammed Hussein (Moha), recording a significant rise to 21 per cent as the 2027 parliamentary race continues to take shape.
Hon. Odalo continues to consolidate his position as the leading contender for the Mathare parliamentary seat, with the latest November opinion poll by Intouch Polls showing a further rise in his popularity across the constituency.
The latest findings indicate that Odalo now commands more than 43 per cent support among sampled voters, marking a significant increase from the previous monthly survey. The results further reinforce a trend that has featured consistently in earlier Intouch Polls research, with the Mabatini Ward MCA maintaining a strong lead as his popularity continues to grow.
Notably, Odalo leads in all six electoral wards, although the margins vary from one ward to another. His strongest support base remains Mabatini Ward, where he currently serves as the MCA. However, his continued lead beyond his home ward points to a broader support base across the constituency.
His consistent performance in successive monthly surveys, coupled with the latest increase in support, suggests that Odalo is not only maintaining his political advantage but also steadily strengthening it as the 2027 General Election approaches.
Moha records significant gains
While Odalo continues to extend his lead, his closest challenger, Mohammed Hussein, popularly known as Moha, is also registering notable progress.
Moha commands 21 per cent support in the November survey, retaining second position in the parliamentary popularity rankings. His latest numbers represent a significant improvement from the previous poll, indicating that his political support is also growing.
The increase places Moha firmly as Odalo's closest challenger and suggests that he is steadily building his profile among Mathare voters.
Incumbent MP Oluoch commands 10 per cent
The November survey places the incumbent Mathare MP, Hon. Oluoch, at 10 per cent support.
The findings show a considerable gap between the incumbent and the two leading contenders, Odalo and Moha. For Oluoch, the numbers provide an important indication of his current standing among voters as the political competition for the constituency's parliamentary seat continues.
Bahati's political entry adds another dimension
The November political developments one again has brought renewed attention to Bahati, who recently announced his intention to contest the Mathare parliamentary seat during a mock-wedding campaign fundraiser.
His announcement adds another dimension to the emerging political contest as more aspirants position themselves ahead of the 2027 General Election.
However, the latest Intouch findings place Odalo comfortably ahead, with Moha maintaining second position. Subsequent monthly surveys will provide a clearer picture of how the entry and activities of other aspirants influence voter preferences.
How the November poll was conducted
The Intouch November Opinion Poll was conducted between November 5 and November 8, 2026, through telephone interviews with registered voters across Mathare Constituency.
The research covered all six electoral wards, with 500 voters sampled from each ward, bringing the total sample to 3,000 respondents.
The exercise reached different registered voters from those interviewed in previous monthly surveys, providing an updated assessment of political preferences and changes in voter sentiment across the constituency.
Odalo maintains momentum as 2027 race approaches
The November findings reinforce the pattern established in previous Intouch Polls monthly surveys, with Odalo maintaining his position at the top while continuing to register improvements in voter support.
His latest performance is particularly notable given his lead in all six wards, suggesting that his popularity extends beyond Mabatini, his current political base.
Moha's improvement to 21 per cent is another significant development, while the incumbent Oluoch's 10 per cent support provides an indication of the competitive landscape expected in Mathare.
With the 2027 General Election drawing closer, the coming monthly surveys will be crucial in tracking whether Odalo can sustain his upward trajectory, whether Moha can further narrow the gap, and how the other aspirants will influence the contest.
For now, the November Intouch Opinion Poll confirms that Odalo remains the candidate to beat in Mathare, having maintained his lead across successive monthly surveys while continuing to grow his support base.